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Prediction markets

10 active markets · category “Science”

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Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3165%
December 31
December 3154%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman91%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang80%9 more
$565KVol. Jul 30science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
48%YesNo
1
31%YesNo
$2.4KVol. Jul 12science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
42%YesNo
9
11%YesNo
$3.0KVol. Jul 12science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

78%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

December 31
December 3165%
August 30
August 3046%1 more
$4.2KVol.science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC44%
1.25–1.29ºC44%4 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10037%
130–15931%7 more
$900.01Vol. Aug 1science