What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

Wife / Family
$924.00 Volume

America / American 2+ times
$893.00 Volume

Independence / Independent
$606.33 Volume

Honor
$333.31 Volume

Challenge
$300.00 Volume

Stability
$260.00 Volume

Job
$240.34 Volume

Fed
$670.71 Volume

-No Qualifying Event-
$1.8K Volume

Federal Reserve 5+ times
$1.5K Volume

Federal Reserve 10+ times
$1.2K Volume

China
$1.1K Volume

War / Iran
$893.04 Volume

Crypto / Bitcoin
$888.55 Volume

AI / Artificial Intelligence
$371.00 Volume

Governor
$285.61 Volume

Trump
$280.02 Volume

Congress
$251.42 Volume

Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times
$175.76 Volume

Unemployment
$160.00 Volume

Employment 2+ times
$160.00 Volume

Central bank
$150.00 Volume

Interest rate
$100.00 Volume

Bernanke / Yellen / Powell
$100.00 Volume
Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony is scheduled for May 22, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/kevin-warsh-trump-federal-reserve-chair.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during his swearing-in ceremony scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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